The UAE oil capacity increase could take place beyond 2027 if global demand requires it, according to Energy Minister Suhail Mohamed Al Mazrouei. His comments highlight the country’s ability to strengthen its role as a leading oil producer worldwide.
Currently, the UAE aims to achieve 5 million barrels per day (bpd) in production capacity by 2027. However, Al Mazrouei said the UAE could expand to 6 million bpd if markets demand more supply. He clarified that this figure is not an official target but reflects the UAE’s readiness for potential growth.
The UAE oil capacity increase discussions remain sensitive within OPEC+, where production quotas often spark tensions among members. These quotas determine each country’s allowed output and directly impact global oil markets.
In 2025, the UAE secured a higher quota after arguing that OPEC+ restrictions limited its use of expanded capacity. Investments have already raised national capacity from 3 million to 4.85 million bpd. The country is now closer to its official 5 million bpd goal while preparing for future growth if needed.
If the UAE reaches 6 million bpd, it could supply nearly 6% of global oil demand. This expansion would position the UAE among the world’s top five producers, alongside the United States, Saudi Arabia, and Russia. It would also surpass major producers like China, Iraq, and Iran while equaling Canada’s capacity.
The UAE oil capacity increase reflects the nation’s strategic focus on energy security and market leadership. Meanwhile, other OPEC+ members like Iraq and Kazakhstan are also requesting higher quotas, creating friction within the alliance.
OPEC+ plans to increase production by 2.5 million bpd between April and September 2025. The UAE’s share includes a 300,000 bpd rise in its quota. Despite these adjustments, OPEC+ will maintain 3.65 million bpd of cuts until late 2026 to support prices.
OPEC has also revised its forecasts, cutting near-term demand expectations due to slower Chinese growth but lifting long-term projections. This could create opportunities for the UAE to expand capacity in response to future global needs.
The UAE continues to align its energy strategy with market trends while supporting global oil stability. Its readiness to adjust production capacity highlights its growing influence in the energy sector.
